Unpacking the Recent Underperformance of the Global Healthcare Sector

Instructions

This report investigates the recent downturn in the global healthcare sector's performance, exploring the contributing factors and differential impacts across various sub-industries and geographical regions, with a particular focus on the influence of US healthcare policy shifts.

Navigating Turbulent Waters: The Global Healthcare Sector's Response to Policy Shifts

Global Healthcare's Recent Challenges and Regional Disparities

Over the past two years, and especially since the US presidential election in November 2024, the global healthcare industry has significantly lagged behind broader equity indices. This underperformance stems from multiple pressures, with the evolving landscape of US healthcare policy serving as a major and ongoing source of uncertainty.

The Pervasive Influence of US Policy on Healthcare Markets

Both developed and emerging healthcare markets, particularly those with substantial revenue ties to the United States, have experienced this downturn. The consistent underperformance of these industries against their respective benchmarks strongly suggests a direct correlation with the ambiguities surrounding US healthcare regulations. Conversely, the healthcare sector in emerging economies has demonstrated greater resilience, likely due to its reduced direct financial reliance on the US market.

Sector-Specific Vulnerabilities to US Healthcare Policies

A closer examination reveals that certain segments within the healthcare industry are more susceptible to US policy shifts and trade barriers. Pharmaceutical and Biotechnology companies, alongside Medical Devices and Equipment manufacturers, derive a larger portion of their income from the US. This increased exposure makes them particularly sensitive to policy changes, a sensitivity clearly reflected in their market performance since October 2024.

Revenue Exposure as a Key Performance Indicator

The noticeable disparities in performance observed among various developed and emerging healthcare industries, as well as distinct healthcare sub-sectors, from October 2024 through June 2025, underscore the critical role of US revenue exposure. These patterns indicate that the ongoing uncertainty surrounding US healthcare policy has indeed imposed an additional burden on the industry during this specific timeframe.

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