Leading Economist Warns: White-Collar Jobs Threatened by AI as Automation Shifts from Manual to Cognitive Tasks

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In an era where artificial intelligence is rapidly advancing, a distinguished economist has sounded the alarm, suggesting that professionals in white-collar sectors are on the cusp of experiencing a transformative shift akin to the challenges faced by automotive workers in Detroit decades ago. This imminent change is driven by AI's unprecedented ability to automate cognitive functions, a departure from previous technological revolutions that predominantly impacted manual labor.

Artificial Intelligence Reshaping the Professional Landscape

On November 17, 2025, a critical discussion unfolded regarding the accelerating impact of artificial intelligence on the global workforce. Economist Justin Wolfers articulated a significant concern: AI's unique capacity to replicate and even surpass human cognitive abilities is now targeting white-collar professions. Historically, advancements such as the plow or the steam engine primarily supplanted physical exertion. However, AI, through its sophisticated algorithms and machine learning, is directly challenging roles that involve reading, analysis, and information synthesis—tasks central to many professional jobs, including Wolfers's own field of economics and various media occupations.

This paradigm shift is already manifesting in the corporate world. Major entities like Amazon.com, Inc. and United Parcel Service Inc. have recently announced substantial layoffs. Amazon, for instance, is projected to shed nearly 30,000 positions after an initial reduction of 14,000 earlier in the year, while UPS has adjusted its job-cut estimates upwards, now anticipating a loss of 48,000 roles. Other companies, including PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP, Chegg Inc., Target Corp., and Paramount Skydance Corp., are also implementing significant workforce reductions, collectively eliminating thousands of jobs. Wolfers underscores the necessity for society to draw lessons from past industrial disruptions and formulate comprehensive policy responses to mitigate the widespread economic and social consequences of this new wave of automation.

As AI-linked investment vehicles continue to perform robustly in the stock market, demonstrating year-to-date performance ranging from 10.53% to 29.73% for various technology ETFs, the contrast between burgeoning technological prosperity and growing employment anxieties becomes stark. This situation calls for a nuanced approach to economic policy, focusing on retraining, education, and social safety nets to support those affected by the technological transition. The unfolding scenario presents both challenges and opportunities, urging a reevaluation of labor markets and the future of work in an AI-driven world.

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